Commodity Trade Intelligence

Multi-source supply-exposure analysis — trade flows, tariffs, disruption news, port signals. About · How it works · Data freshness · Data sources
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This tool tracks how risky it is to source a chemical (propylene glycol by default) from each country that imports it. Every country gets a 0–100 risk score — higher means more vulnerable supply.

It uses eight free public data feeds. It does not show the chemical's price — it shows the risks and cost pressures building around it.

Each number below has a one-line explanation under it. Want more? Plain description · how it works · data sources.

HS commodity
The product code being tracked. 290532 is propylene glycol.
High-exposure markets
How many countries score 55+ (High or Critical risk).
Feedstock pressure
Rise in fuel/feedstock prices. "n/a" means the EIA key isn't set yet.
Gulf Coast weather
Storm risk to the US petrochemical hub. Clear = no current threat.
Highest exposure
The most at-risk market right now, with its 0–100 score.
Trade data is annual and lags ~1 year, so 2023 is the newest complete set. Other feeds (news, weather, prices) are live. How current is each source? →
Internal procurement data
Upload a CSV of your own positions to make exposure analysis position-aware and enable depletion forecasting. Columns (all except country optional): country, supplier, open_po_usd, inventory_days, monthly_demand_usd, lead_time_days, moq_units, next_shipment_date, daily_consumption_units, stock_on_hand_units. Stays in your Worker; never sent elsewhere.
Supply-exposure alerts
Markets scoring 55+ on the 10-component model.
Feedstock cost curve measured
Leading indicator — upstream energy prices (EIA). Chemical prices typically follow in 30-60 days.
Country exposure table. Each row is a country that imports this chemical. Score is 0–100 — higher means more vulnerable supply. The last column shows exactly which factors built that score and a suggested action.
CountryExposureScoreImports DependencyDutyUSD 90dDrivers, depletion & recommendation
Macro context measured
Demand counterweight + systemic logistics stress (FRED / NY Fed).
Disruption monitor signal
GDELT news volume — global attention, not confirmed supply impact.
Gulf Coast weather signal
NWS alerts for TX/LA/MS/AL — the US petrochemical hub. Hurricanes and freezes here trigger force majeure.
USD strength (import-cost FX) measured
90-day USD move vs each importer's currency (ECB rates).
Port monitor signal